The Trend Bible

Research Results – Horizontal Trends

A break upwards from a horizontal trend has been followed by a solid price increase equivalent to 4.0 percentage points more than average benchmark development in three months.

Research Results – Horizontal Trends

Figure 1: Breaks from horizontal trends. Average price development for stocks breaking upwards and downwards from horizontal trends in Investtech’s medium long term technical charts.



Relative return, breaks from horizontal trends Norway Sweden Denmark Finland Weighgted average
Breaking upwards 5.1 ppt 3.2 ppt 4.9 ppt 0.4 ppt 4.0 ppt
Breaking downwards -2.3 ppt -5.5 ppt -4.5 ppt -4.9 ppt -4.1 ppt

ppt: percentage points

The data set for horizontal trends is smaller than the data sets for the other trend signals. This means that these situations are rare in the market. A break upwards from a horizontal trend has, however, been followed by a solid price increase of 4.0 percentage points more than benchmark average in three months. Similarly breaks downwards have been followed by a negative excess return of 4.1 percentage points. The great price differences make these results clearly significant.

If you want to learn more about horizontal trends or see which stocks have currently triggered signals from horizontal trends....

 

The Trend Bible was written in 2016 by Investtech’s Head of Research Mr. Geir Linløkken. The research team behind the Trend Bible also consists of Senior Researchers Asbjørn Taugbøl and Fredrik Tyvand.

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Investtech has worked on research into behavioural finance and technical and quantitative stock analysis since 1997. The company has developed an analysis system that identifies trends, support and resistance, formations and volume patterns in stock prices, and uses these to generate buy and sell signals. Investtech uses advanced mathematical algorithms and statistical methods in computer programmes and online subscription services.

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Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.


Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.

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